Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000246 0.000274 0.000304 0.000340 0.000379 0.000423 0.000475
2025-02-09 0.000190 0.000229 0.000276 0.000335 0.000408 0.000497 0.000613
2025-02-16 0.000160 0.000205 0.000261 0.000337 0.000440 0.000574 0.000764
2025-02-23 0.000137 0.000184 0.000246 0.000334 0.000460 0.000635 0.000902
2025-03-02 0.000122 0.000170 0.000236 0.000336 0.000485 0.000704 0.001057
2025-03-09 0.000110 0.000158 0.000227 0.000335 0.000505 0.000766 0.001210
2025-03-16 0.000096 0.000142 0.000210 0.000320 0.000500 0.000789 0.001304
2025-03-23 0.000088 0.000134 0.000204 0.000322 0.000521 0.000854 0.001478
2025-03-30 0.000084 0.000131 0.000205 0.000334 0.000561 0.000955 0.001730
2025-04-06 0.000077 0.000122 0.000196 0.000327 0.000565 0.000995 0.001873
2025-04-13 0.000068 0.000111 0.000181 0.000310 0.000550 0.000997 0.001945
2025-04-20 0.000064 0.000106 0.000178 0.000312 0.000569 0.001066 0.002162
2025-04-27 0.000062 0.000105 0.000180 0.000325 0.000614 0.001193 0.002531
2025-05-04 0.000058 0.000099 0.000174 0.000322 0.000625 0.001255 0.002773
2025-05-11 0.000054 0.000096 0.000171 0.000325 0.000650 0.001349 0.003108
2025-05-18 0.000051 0.000091 0.000166 0.000322 0.000662 0.001417 0.003395
2025-05-25 0.000048 0.000088 0.000163 0.000324 0.000684 0.001511 0.003770
2025-06-01 0.000045 0.000084 0.000159 0.000323 0.000699 0.001593 0.004129
2025-06-08 0.000041 0.000078 0.000149 0.000309 0.000683 0.001594 0.004264
2025-06-15 0.000039 0.000075 0.000147 0.000310 0.000704 0.001693 0.004704
2025-06-22 0.000039 0.000075 0.000149 0.000322 0.000751 0.001867 0.005416
2025-06-29 0.000036 0.000071 0.000143 0.000315 0.000750 0.001911 0.005732
2025-07-06 0.000033 0.000066 0.000134 0.000299 0.000724 0.001883 0.005803